1 Introduction

  • A/B: simple space
  • BO: large spaces
  • data: expensive
  • offline systems, "sim", bias

2 Empirical Context and the Simulator

  • very biased
    image

3 Response Surface Modeling with the Gaussian Process

  • points that are nearby in space are given high covariance. The degree of smoothness depends on the kernel variance and lengthscales

3.1 The Multi-Task Gaussian Process

  • offline and online tasks
  • the same spatial kernel
  • separability between the task covariance and the spatial covariance
  • "linear combination" of 2 latent functions
  • extreme, 0, irrelevant, independent GPs that have the same cov function
  • decomposition, incomplete, \(O(DP)\)
    • 2 tasks: not necessary
  • more complex?
  • now: shared kernel, leverage, √

4 Multi-Task Response Surface Models with the Simulator

image